ExxonMobil sees US$1.5 billion earnings hit from lower oil, gas prices

The company “has a much smaller trading organisation than its European peer Shell, and thus was not impacted by the same issues”

Published Tue, Jul 8, 2025 · 06:14 AM

ExxonMobil expects lower oil and gas prices to reduce the company’s earnings by about US$1.5 billion as a volatile quarter for commodity prices weighs on second-quarter profits.

Oil prices pulled down earnings by about US$1 billion while gas contributed another US$500 million hit when compared to the first quarter, the Spring, Texas-based company said on Monday (Jul 7). European rival Shell’s shares fell 3.3 per cent on Monday after guiding to “significantly lower” trading earnings than the previous quarter.

The two oil giants’ outlook points to a downbeat quarter for the industry, which was already struggling to generate enough free cash to cover the dividends and share buybacks companies hiked after record earnings in 2022.

US President Donald Trump’s trade war and larger-than-expected supply increases from Opec and its allies weighed on oil prices, while US and Israeli attacks on Iran only provided a temporary uplift.

ExxonMobil expects some respite from refining margins, which will add about US$300 million to earnings, the company said. The guidance only refers to market pricing and does not factor in operational performance such as changes to production or costs, the company said.

ExxonMobil’s guidance is “bang in line” with analysts’ estimates for the second quarter, RBC Capital Markets analyst Biraj Borkhataria said in a research note. ExxonMobil “has a much smaller trading organisation than its European peer Shell, and thus was not impacted by the same issues”. BLOOMBERG

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