Gold extends retreat from record high on profit-booking, trade optimism

The Fed will lower its key interest rate by 25 basis points next week and again in December

Gold prices fell further on Wednesday (Oct 22), weighed down by signs of easing US-China trade tensions and as investors took advantage of bullion’s recent record rally to take profits while awaiting US inflation data due later this week.

Spot gold was down 0.4 per cent at US$4,109.19 per ounce, as at 10.36 am. Bullion fell more than 5 per cent on Tuesday in its steepest fall since August 2020.

US gold futures for December delivery climbed 0.4 per cent to US$4,124.10 per ounce.

“Simmering of trade tensions between the US and China was the snowflake which caused the avalanche and reversal of gold’s momentum trade,” said StoneX senior analyst Matt Simpson.

“This is simply a technical repositioning on a market that clearly needed a pullback after an extended move above US$4,000. I suspect we have seen the worst of the day-to-day volatility as dips will still likely be bought.”

US President Donald Trump said that he expected to reach a fair trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping when the two meet next week in South Korea, and played down the risks of a clash over the issue of Taiwan.

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New Delhi and Washington are nearing a long-stalled trade agreement that would reduce US tariffs on Indian imports to 15 to 16 per cent from 50 per cent, India’s Mint newspaper reported.

Gold prices have risen about 56 per cent this year, reaching an all-time peak of US$4,381.21 on Monday, bolstered by geopolitical and economic uncertainties, rate-cut bets and sustained central bank buying.

Investors now look forward to the release of the September US consumer price index report on Friday for more cues on the US Federal Reserve’s interest rate-cut path. The report has been delayed due to the US government shutdown.

The Fed will lower its key interest rate by 25 basis points next week and again in December, according to a Reuters poll of economists who remain deeply divided on where rates will be by the end of next year.

Elsewhere, spot silver edged 0.1 per cent higher to US$48.82 per ounce, platinum slipped 1.5 per cent to US$1,528.15 and palladium gained 0.7 per cent to US$1,418.09. REUTERS