Deutsche Bank sees more China clients moving out of US assets

The outlook for European markets has improved due to Germany’s approval of a landmark spending package and scope for more interest-rate cuts by the European Central Bank

Published Fri, Apr 18, 2025 · 02:02 PM

Chinese clients have reduced some of their Treasuries holdings in favour of European debt as US President Donald Trump’s tariff deluge fuels an exodus from US assets, according to Deutsche Bank.

“We have observed some diversification away from US dollar in Chinese investors’ portfolios,” while their interest in other markets picked up, particularly in Europe, Lillian Tao, head of China macro and global emerging market sales, said.

European high-quality bonds, Japanese government bonds and gold are likely to be the potential choices for investors as alternatives to Treasuries, she said, speaking of Chinese commercial clients’ investments in overseas markets.

US dollar-denominated assets have taken a beating in recent weeks, with their status as haven assets increasingly coming into question following Trump’s all-out assault on global trade.

China’s status as the second-largest overseas holder of Treasuries has come into focus in recent weeks as analysts debate the nation’s role in the recent turmoil. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent this week rejected speculation that foreign nations were dumping their Treasuries holdings.

Several Chinese clients think the current market level of Treasury yields is very attractive after the sell-off, Tao said. However, “they are also extremely cautious whether it is a good entry level or just a falling knife” as US policies turn more unpredictable, she said.

Amid rising volatility, “an increasing number of Chinese clients started looking at German bunds, Spain or Italy markets that they haven’t paid a lot of attention to before”, Tao said.

The outlook for European markets has improved due to Germany’s approval of a landmark spending package and scope for more interest-rate cuts by the European Central Bank.

“Given the macro factors, it is a rethinking time for Chinese investors to reallocate into the more investable countries,” Tao said. BLOOMBERG

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